Recent Risks Scorecards

Updated Sovereign Risk Scoring methodology: combining traditional macro-financial analysis with in-depth evaluation of countries' resilience to Energy, Climate and Natural Resources challenges: Check the full geographical coverage.
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Latest Data Analytics

Visual analysis using graphs and maps to provide an insightful understanding.
  • banking-crises

Number of systemic banking crises by country group, 1970-2012

September 29th, 2016|Comments Off

  • renewables-cost-trend

Renewable investment costs, historical and projected in USD/kWh

September 23rd, 2016|Comments Off

  • diesel-price

Automotive diesel prices in IEA member countries, first quarter 2016

September 23rd, 2016|Comments Off

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Latest Analysts' Insights

Reactive analysis on hot topics that may impact financial and infrastructure investors.

AFD on the path of climate change-oriented reforms… and so are we

Fighting against climate change is this century’s battle. It involves not only our future, but also the future of our children, and Gael Giraud, Chief economist of the Agence Française de Développement (AFD) knows it. On Thursday, he was once again invited on national radio to explain his views and used a very sensible metaphor.
- Imagine a plane that has a 10% chance to crash… would you board it? Then now, just figure out that we are all inside this plane that is called planet earth and I don’t think it is an overstatement to say that the survival of humanity is at stake.
While COP22 will take place in Morocco in less than two months, with a little less of media attention than the Paris summit (to say the least), the economist went back on last year’s conclusions. Indeed, the Paris agreement is a huge diplomatic success as it was the first time the international community managed to commit so voluntarily in order to tackle climate change. However, Mr. Giraud insists on the fact that this commitment is, from a climate perspective, far from being enough. His point relies on the idea that if every participant takes the actions it said it would, then the base case scenario would be a 3.5 °C-increase of the world temperature by the end of the century. And this is does not take into account the tail distribution that would lead to a 6°C-increase of the world temperature, that the economist assesses as 10% (here is the 10% chance of the “earth” plane crash).  So we are still pretty far from the 2°C temperature hike that is being targeted.
[...]

Saudi Arabia-Russia: never-ending status quo

The following interview was given by Olivier Rech (Beyond Ratings' Head of Energy-Climate research) to El Watan on the 6th September 2016.

Crude oil prices recovered today in London, gaining about 5% along the [...]

Philippines, a first example of the limited top-down approach in climate change negotiations

Eight months ago, the world leaders were meeting for the COP21 in Paris. The French Presidency wanted so much to make it a success that it might have claimed victory [...]

The Turkish coup attempt and its consequences on the energy business

The last week-end was especially heavy in terms of events and dramas. No need to be long on the Nice situation. Barbarity does not need more publicity that it actually [...]

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Latest News

Release of Daily news from international press on climate & energy risks issues, public finances, stranded assets, sovereign debts and much more.

Dutch parliament votes to close down country’s coal industry – The Guardian – 23/09/2016

The Dutch parliament has voted for a 55% cut in CO2 emissions by 2030, which would require the closure of all the country’s coal-fired power [...]

Opec agrees on oil output cut at Algiers meeting – FT – 29/09/2016

Crude prices climb more than 6% as cartel ministers reach consensus on production curbs.

Source:  FT, 2016/09/29

Oil downturn ‘huge blow’ to Mexico, says energy minister – Fuel Fix – 23/09/2016

The Mexican secretary of energy said on Friday that the finances of the country’s national oil company have “taken a huge blow” during the oil [...]

Australian government wants slower switch to clean energy – The Washington Post – 29/09/2016

A rush by Australia’s state governments to switch to clean electricity sources could undermine the country’s energy security, the federal government warned Thursday after all [...]

IMF issues warning to Portugal after austerity policy rollbacks – Public Finance International – 23/09/2016

Anti-austerity policy reversals in Portugal are starting to rewind the country’s fragile economic recovery, according to the International Monetary Fund.

Source:  Public Finance International, 2016/09/23

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